BBB Betting Tips: Yankees vs. Houston Astros (5/3)

BBBetting started the month off right, winning the total hits+runs+errors under 26 with relative ease. Undefeated in the month of May, and 12-3-1 in our last 16 games. With Masahiro Tanaka on the mound, the old “tee-ball Tanaka” over rule should be in play, but with the Yankees listed as underdogs, I am thinking differently. 

Photo Credit: Adam Hunger/USA TODAY Sports

New York Yankees @ Houston Astros (05/03)

Masahiro Tanaka (4-2, 4.37 ERA) vs. Lance McCullers Jr. (4-1, 3.71 ERA)

I established a rule earlier in the season, that if Masahiro Tanaka is on the mound, we will grab the over. Even if he isn’t actually the one giving up the runs (see last two starts) the over will get hit regardless. Right now the over/under is sitting at 8 runs (down from the opening 8.5) with the majority of the public grabbing the under. Oh boy, that is enticing. It has everything we could possibly want; fading the public, a dropping over/under, and Tanaka on the mound. 

With that said, I think it is too perfect a setup, and Tanaka has desperately been trying to get an under of late to stick it to this blog. The direction we should be looking is the money line. This season, when the Yankees are listed as underdogs, they have gone 4-4. Winning half the games they aren’t expected to is not a bad situation at all. Today is the ninth game they are seen as underdogs of the season, with the money line at +115. Tanaka has improved greatly, and even Stanton looks like he is heating up. It will be a tough one, and I am super uneasy betting that Tanaka will pull it off, but with a favorable line it is worth the risk.

Final Call: Yankees ML (+115)

Article by: Dylan Farrell


Popular posts from this blog

Introducing Bronx Bomber Bets: BBBets 9/23

An Unofficial Guide to Food Options at Yankee Stadium

Opinion: The Yankees missed an opportunity to move on from a manager that has not improved enough